VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin / Bundesliga – Relegation play-off is always a stressful affair but first-division team is under bigger pressure as it is regarded as a favourite to win. Stuttgart had a difficult season and the 16th place was its realistic achievement. Union Berlin had chance in dramatic finish of the 2.Bundesliga to earn direct promotion to the Bundesliga but they dropped it. When the two teams met in Stuttgart 2017 the home team won 3-1.
VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin begins 23.05.2019 at 20:30 CET
It can be said that Stuttgart deserves neither better nor worse than the relegation play-off. They spent the entire second half of season right at the 16th place and in the end there were no uncertainly as it was known in advance that cannot overtake any higher positioned team, or to get directly relegated. Since Stuttgart had one of three worst defences in the league which conceded even 70 goals, and that outside their stadium they won just one match and won six points in total, than better outcome couldn’t be expected.
Stuttgart replaced three managers this season; Korkut led the team at the beginning of season, Weinzierl continued to do so, while Nico Willing is that last in the row and his task is to save them from relegation. It is encouraging that Stuttgart played well last two home matches with stronger teams; Borussia M’gladbach and Wolfsburg, which they won with a clean sheet, just like away draw with Schalke in the last round. Beck is out of action due to injury, and Ascacibar because of suspension.
Probable lineups VfB Stuttgart: Zieler – Pavard, Baumgartl, Kempf, Insua – Castro, Gentner, Aogo, Didavi – Gonzalez, Donis
We can almost say for Union Berlin the same what we wrote about the home team. It can be said that the third place in the 2.Bundesliga is objective reach of this team since they spent the largest part of the season at it. Union occupied the second place only few times at the beginning of season, while later on it was the fourth just a couple of times. It struggled to win away matches and won just three of them but drew even 10. The 10th draw cast them a lot since it was a great chance for Union Berlin to reach the second place in the table.
Before the last round Paderborn occupied the second place and had one point more but they lost in Dresden in the last round and Union Berlin needed victory against imperative-free Bochum. However, importance of the match had adverse effect on their performances and at one point they were losing 2-0. Still, they managed to equalise having a player more 2-2 but couldn’t score the winning goal. In that way Union Berlin dropped a great chance but there is still hope to earn promotion to the Bundesliga. We expect that Mees be a starter instead of F. Kroos.
Probable lineups Union Berlin: Gikiewicz – Trimmel, Parensen, Friedrich, Reichel – Promel, Schmiedebach, Mees – Zulj – Anderson, Polter
VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin PICK
As it is common in such play-offs the first-division team is a favourite to win. On top of it, Stuttgart is a host and it played well in front of its fans in the finish of season, while Union Berlin is in shock after missed opportunity to avoid the play-off and consequently we give advantage to Stuttgart.
Pick: Stuttgart wins
Odds: 1.88 at betsson (down to 1.78 can be played)
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