Italy vs. Germany / International – Two football giants which were both world champions four times will face each other in a friendly in Milan. The match will be much stronger test for both Italy and Germany than qualifiers they played last weekend. Italy played in Lichtenstein and routinely won by 4-0, while Germany travelled to San Marion where they scored two times more goals than the Azzurri, of course keeping their goal intact. Germany has an easier group and by now they won all four matches, while Italy won three and drew one match, with strong Spain. Italy and Germany met the last time at this year’s European championship in France and after 1-1 in regular time Germany was better in penalty shootout, which launched them into the semi-finals. Begins: 15.11.2016 – 20:45 CET
Italy expectedly won Lichtenstein away on Saturday and continues to race with Spain for the first place in the group. Italy and Spain had already met in Italy and they drew the match 1-1, so the Red Fury has the advantage. The Italians hope that their rivals will make a mistake although they were closer to do something like that in Israel and Macedonia, where were on verge of defeat but they managed to equalise than to score in the stoppage time and win by 3-2.
Hero of the match was forward Immobile who was also scorer of the only goal against Lichtenstein on Saturday, although Turin’s forward Belotti took player-of-the-match title. The two of them practically swapped roles in those two duels, where the match against Lichtenstein was Italy’s first in which they haven’t received a goal. Regarding the team, it is known that Barzagli is out of action due to injury, while compared to match in Macedonia there were some minor changes, although it is expected that coach Ventura should make many changes in the starting line-up as the match is friendly.
Probable lineups Italy: Buffon – Darmian, Bonucci, Romagnoli, Antonelli – de Rossi, Verratti, Candreva, Insigne – Immobile, Belotti
Germany has not problems in qualifications for the World Cup and they won all four matches played by now, scoring 16 goals and receiving none. When we add to the series a friendly played before start of the qualification it is five wins in a row with a clean sheet. Germany has no real rival in the group, which was clear before the qualification but Germany proved its dominance with the series of sound victories. The Germans scored half of abovementioned 16 goals on last Friday when they faced feeble San Marino away. Coach Low has practically used the match to test some players, while he hadn’t even invited several standard ones.
He didn’t call goalkeeper Neuer, than J. Boateng, Kross, Ozil, Draxler, Schurrle and so on, which Werder’s midfielder and debutant in the Mannschaft Gnabry used and scored three goals. We expect new changes all over the team for this match. Forward Gomez is not in good shape and he might leave his place to Volland, Howedes could play on the right flank, Mustafi should stopper, while Weigla and Goretzka should be seen in the midfield. In fact, even more changes might easily take place.
Probable lineups Germany: ter Stegen – Howedes, Mustafi, Hummels, J. Hector – Weigl, Gundogan – T. Muller, Goretzka, Gnabry – Volland
Italy – Germany PICK
It is not easy to give prognosis for this match as neither Italy nor Germany will not play with strongest teams and it is hard to guess how much will combine both coaches, but if we judge according to matches played after the European championship it seems that Germany is in better shape, which is why we believe that will not lose.
Pick: Asian handicap 0 Germany
Odds: 1.85 at bet365 (down to 1.75 can be played)