Gremio vs. Atletico Paranaense / Brazilian Serie A – Derby of 30th round of the Brazilian Serie A will play 8th-positioned Gremio and 6th-placed Atletico Paranaense, which at the moment has just two points more. The two teams are locked in race, alongside several others, for first three positions that guarantee qualification for the Copa Libertadores, while race for the title had been lost a long time ago given enormous point advantage of first two positioned Palmeiras and Flamengo. Let’s add that Gremio and Atletico PR had met recently in the Brazilian Cup and both matches ended with away victories, but after better execution of penalties Gremio went further. Before that Atletico PR won at home 2-0. Begins: 14.10.2016 – 02:00 CET
We believe that will be an additional motive for Gremio to try to win Atletico PR at home, especially as if they succeed they would overtake them in the Serie A standings. They are definitely capable to do something like that as out of last four matches they won three and lost one, to Cruziero away in the Serie A. On the other hand, they defeated in the same period Chapecoense in the championship and Palmeiras in the Cup, while seven days ago they won important victory in the championship over Vitoria away.
Gremio can thanks to these results mostly to much better performances of its defence, given that in last four matches they conceded only two goals so it seems that Coach Gaucho has obviously found the right receipt for the defence. Regarding the rest of team, it become fairly standardised in last month. Now against Atletico it will be stronger for defender Oliviera and forward Luan whose suspensions have expired. Unlike them are out of action due to injuries stoppers Wallace and Gabriel, and midfielders Maicon and Bolanos.
Probable lineups Gremio: Grassi – Edilson, Geromel, Kannemann, Oliveira – Jailson, Walace – Ramiro, Douglas, Rocha – Luan
The guests from Paranaense are one more pleasant surprises in the Brazilian Serie A this season given that very few expected to see them in race for the Copa Libertadores. Thanks primarily to great results at home they currently occupy great sixth position, while were recently eliminated from the Brazilian Cup by no one else but Gremio, and only after penalty shootout.
Atletico PR is perhaps the most interesting by fact that is in series of even seven consecutive defeats away in the championship, but at the same time they stringed five wins at home and right because of that they fans are afraid of this away match against Gremio. Even more, coach Autuori has great problems with absences at the moment and due to injuries out of action are defenders Cleberson and Sidcley, midfielders Deivid, Cabral and Nikao, and forwards Lima and Luan, while standard goalkeeper Weverton has obligation toward Brazilian national football team.
Probable lineups Atletico: Santos – Leo, Andre, Heleno, Vichiatto – Otavio, Hernani – Fernandes, Gonzalez, Rossetto – Pablo
Gremio – Atletico Paranaense PICK
Given that lately both teams play much better at home than away than it is quite logical why we have decided to give advantage to Gremio.
Pick: Gremio wins
Odds: 1.62 at bwin (down to 1.57 can be played)